Diagnosis for Democracy
Insights into the State of Our Union
A Blog by Rob Tenery, MD


The Continuing Creep of Socialism

By Rob Tenery, MD on January 15, 2018

In the 2016 race for the Democratic nominee for President, if the Superdelegate count had been switched from Hillary Clinton to Democratic Socialist Bernie Sanders, he would have won the nomination. The growing influence in the college community by professors who fall to the far left of the scale gives notice that socialism as alive and well. Sanders won’t be the last. In fact if this country remains on its current course, the chances that conservatives will remain in control is increasingly unlikely.

Although socialism and liberalism are not the same, the very nature of bigger government, puts this country on a direct path to socialism as the government policies and programs usurp more and more control from the private sector.

There are three policies, if left unchecked, will finally push this country over the cliff: They are birthright citizenship, the Diversity Visa Lottery Program and using the current U.S. Census in its entirety for determining state representation in the U.S. House of Representatives which then determines the proportional allotment of votes in the Electoral College.

The first area of this multifaceted situation concerns what has been labeled ‘birthright citizenship’---automatic citizenship for any child born within the borders of this country. As background, birthright citizenship first arose after the Civil War as a constitutional provision clause of the 14th Amendment in 1868. It was a way to undo the Dred Scott ruling and ensure citizenship for former slaves born on U.S. soil. Analysis of Census Bureau data reveals that an estimated 340,000 births in the United States were to parents of undocumented immigrants in 2008. That extrapolates out to 8 per cent of the births in this country. Carrying the extrapolations of all the costs further, at an average of $25,000/birth that also includes prenatal, delivery and post-natal care for both the mother and the newborn child, costs to the health care system would be 8.5 billion dollars in 2008. Add to that another $10,000/year for 12 future years of required public educational costs, Medicaid, CHIP, Perinatal CHIP, welfare, Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (formerly food stamps), Section-8 housing through Temporary Assistance to Needy Families (formerly AFDC) and the costs generated by those who care for them, the costs rise exponentially. It is estimated that since The Immigration Reform and Control Act of 1986, at an average of 170,000 ‘anchor babies’/year over those 24 years, adjusting for inflation, have generated costs of $165,000/child or 673 billion dollars.

The Diversity Immigrant Visa program, also known as the green card lottery, is a congressional lottery program for receiving a United States Permanent Residential Card. The lottery makes available 50,000 permanent resident visas annually and aims to diversify the immigrant population in the United States, by selecting applicants from countries with low rates of immigration in the five years prior. As of 2017, around 20 million people apply for the lottery each year, and around 100,000 people (including family members of the winners) receive permanent residence as a result of it. Complaints have been raised because the vetting is very poor. On November 3, the program received widespread attention after a recipient of a Diversity Immigrant Visa from Uzbekistan killed eight people in a terrorist attack in 2010.

The third is using the current U.S. Census in its entirety for determining state representation in the U.S. House of Representatives that then determines their proportional allotment of votes in the Electoral College.

The Electoral College is comprised of two senators for each state and the number of members in the U.S. House of Representatives based on the state’s population.  Although there are several variances, the determining factor used in the vast majority of situations is by the United States Census. Variations in state representation occur as or if the census demonstrates population shifts that change the allocation to fill the 435 seats that are mandated by the Constitution. Thus, states with higher populations have more members in the U.S. House, subsequently more votes that are cast in the Electoral College.

Conducted every 10 years, the U.S. Census figures are based on actual counts of persons dwelling in U.S. residential structures. They include citizens, non-citizen legal residents, non-citizen long-term visitors and illegal immigrants.*

Extrapolation from the most recent U.S. Census numbers from 2012-2020, the average number of residents per member of the U.S. House of Representatives varies from just over 527,000 in Rhode Island to over 900,000 in Delaware per member. The state average was over 712,000.

Using the number of 11 million illegal aliens residing in this country, that works out to be 15 Electoral College votes attributed to those who reside illegally in this country. The additional Electoral College vote from the percentage of illegal immigrants that reportedly voted in the 2010 and 2012 elections would add an additional 1 vote. If that number is closer to 30 million, as some report, by including those who also overstay their visas, the affect to the Electoral College could go up to 44. So, out of the 538 total electoral votes, illegal aliens illegally contribute from 3 to 8.2 percent of the Electoral College numbers. Additionally, around 80% of illegal aliens are either Mexican (60%) and from other Latin American countries (20%). Studies demonstrate a predominately liberal pattern of 70% plus in their voting demographics.

What these three unchecked laws forebode is a slow, unrelenting shift to a population that votes along the liberal lines of increasing government control. 

* The country's Electoral College bases selection of the president on the U.S. Census, which in turn credits states for total populations of both legal and illegal residents.  Newsmax Tuesday November 14, 2017

 





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