Diagnosis for Democracy
Insights into the State of Our Union
A Blog by Rob Tenery, MD


Our Illegal Immigrants Could Tip the Presidential Election

By Rob Tenery, MD on November 7, 2016

The authors of the Constitution created what was called a Constitutional Democratic Federal Republic, different from a pure democracy. Under this form of governance, the results of local, state and national representation are determined by individual votes. However, the Electoral College determines the Presidency. In the 2000 election for President, Al Gore won the popular vote, but lost the vote in the Electoral College.

The Electoral College is comprised of two senators for each state and the number of members in the U.S. House of Representatives based on the state’s population. Generally, the determining factor used, is by the United States Census. Variations in state representation thus occur as or if the census demonstrates population shifts. States with higher populations have more members in the U.S. House, and more votes that are cast in Electoral College.

Conducted every 10 years, the U.S. Census figures are based on actual counts of persons dwelling in U.S. residential structures. They include citizens, non-citizen legal residents, non-citizen long-term visitors and illegal immigrants.*

Extrapolating from the most recent U.S. Census numbers from 2012-2020, the average number of residents per member in the U.S. House of Representatives varies from just over 527,000 in Rhode Island to more than 900,000 in Delaware. The state average for one representative was just over 712,000.

Using the number of 11 million illegal aliens residing in this country, that works out to be 15 Electoral College votes attributed to those who reside illegally in this country. The additional Electoral College vote from the percentage of illegal immigrants that reportedly illegally voted in the 2010 and 2012 elections would add an additional 1 vote. If the number is closer to 30 million, as some report, by including those who also overstay their visas, the affect to the Electoral College could go up to 44. Out of the 538 total electoral votes, illegal aliens contribute from 3 to 8.2 percent of the Electoral College numbers, which would be significant.**

Examining the voting patterns of the three largest groups of illegal immigrants--- Hispanic, Muslim and those from the Oriental countries--- they vote from 65 to 71 percent for the Democratic Candidate.

This inclusion of illegal immigrants into counting representation in the U.S. House of Representatives, thus the Electoral College, must be reexamined. Whether illegals should reside here or not, is a somewhat different concern; the other, also important, is should they continue to be a factor in determining who will represent legal citizens in Congress and who will be the President.

Historically, democracies self-destruct over time. Thomas Jefferson quotes, “The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work, and give to those who would not.” Income shifts though entitlement programs are at the heart of this decline.

In
1787, Alexander Tyler, a Scottish history professor at the University of Edinburgh, is quoted, “A democracy is always temporary in nature; it simply cannot exist as a permanent form of government. A democracy will continue to exist up until 
the time that voters discover they can vote themselves generous gifts from 
the public treasury. From that moment on, the majority always votes for 
the candidates who promise the most benefits from the public treasury, 
with the result that every democracy will finally collapse due to loose 
fiscal policy, which is always followed by a dictatorship."

Tyler continued with: "The average age of the worlds greatest civilizations from the beginning 
of history, has been about 200 years. During those 200 years, these nations always progressed through the following sequence: From bondage to spiritual faith; from spiritual faith to great courage; from courage to liberty; from liberty to abundance; from abundance to complacency; from complacency to apathy; 
from apathy to dependence;
 from dependence back into bondage. "

Tyler’s model puts the United States in the next to the last stage before collapsing---- from apathy to dependence.  The more that this country descends in to an entitlement mentality, the more likely it will end up in the final stage of collapse. That is why this upcoming Presidential election tomorrow is the most critical this country has faced in our lifetime.       

*      Wikipedia

** Watchdog.org: Could non-citizens decide the U.S. Presidential election? By M.D. Kittle/ March 25, 2016.





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